Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 1281.490879 1454.183199 1645.235731 1872.908129 2137.645761 2436.740501 2801.593391
2025-10-19 1019.493086 1249.134783 1526.749457 1889.766062 2355.874282 2939.558345 3734.163409
2025-10-26 875.590601 1128.059233 1451.697650 1902.278034 2521.747189 3355.856159 4585.175648
2025-11-02 789.705415 1059.739980 1422.902251 1955.542010 2731.315487 3843.012101 5599.345861
2025-11-09 717.063672 995.720639 1385.959657 1984.376199 2900.625412 4287.531342 6619.213695
2025-11-16 656.260022 938.823565 1348.812788 2002.805988 3050.020683 4715.957132 7682.033603
2025-11-23 606.908197 891.761824 1318.521741 2024.205816 3201.836545 5164.190169 8852.952426
2025-11-30 568.694723 856.557048 1300.856568 2060.773222 3379.527940 5676.951345 10229.596897
2025-12-07 516.503367 793.970556 1232.900545 2005.068541 3389.942355 5895.453586 11091.200420
2025-12-14 471.151346 737.834904 1169.312654 1948.310312 3388.796677 6088.807333 11934.163206
2025-12-21 429.789805 684.453239 1104.979828 1882.383907 3360.879926 6224.543058 12679.332303
2025-12-28 416.207783 676.051442 1115.606355 1951.383622 3595.331483 6908.306334 14753.580011
2026-01-04 396.137905 655.502918 1104.336094 1980.867510 3761.446494 7489.985443 16756.130574
2026-01-11 375.824646 632.874481 1087.380749 1997.896404 3905.682695 8051.898044 18856.343319
2026-01-18 357.010819 611.193358 1069.870772 2011.293356 4043.277050 8621.108363 21117.095522
2026-01-25 345.477578 601.673105 1073.896250 2068.093010 4282.396019 9466.051966 24343.252221
2026-02-01 331.647139 586.672332 1065.939906 2098.849582 4467.237816 10214.036130 27509.139510
2026-02-08 317.659227 570.205605 1053.540876 2118.510263 4628.933423 10933.766914 30803.908252
2026-02-15 305.104818 555.479962 1043.214092 2141.341602 4801.339415 11713.848663 34530.975191
2026-02-22 295.098789 544.934935 1040.345764 2180.360643 5019.305181 12659.717504 39120.446771
2026-03-01 276.395607 515.726038 996.539490 2120.924054 4979.062752 12875.228680 41233.028616
2026-03-08 259.075317 488.156161 954.078251 2060.380109 4928.068675 13051.790775 43268.763563
2026-03-15 242.204901 460.440694 909.309066 1990.078278 4842.330986 13111.673105 44892.612803